Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 1.896340 2.175581 2.473232 2.813186 3.189744 3.593110 4.056886
2025-01-12 1.371022 1.750920 2.190139 2.731032 3.374496 4.110693 5.011575
2025-01-19 1.069820 1.506091 2.048309 2.760705 3.660017 4.745049 6.139332
2025-01-26 0.856188 1.318925 1.932994 2.787029 3.921215 5.351515 7.264168
2025-02-02 0.704296 1.179421 1.848694 2.827614 4.185881 5.964063 8.421889
2025-02-09 0.574746 1.044142 1.744255 2.817661 4.367888 6.466644 9.453553
2025-02-16 0.464632 0.915523 1.626796 2.767566 4.478094 6.866583 10.357211
2025-02-23 0.393786 0.835971 1.569685 2.794160 4.690852 7.410035 11.473710
2025-03-02 0.324722 0.745199 1.480100 2.756597 4.798441 7.801928 12.388173
2025-03-09 0.279985 0.689823 1.440299 2.790485 5.011061 8.349917 13.541862
2025-03-16 0.236396 0.627446 1.378771 2.779432 5.147720 8.786471 14.546101
2025-03-23 0.213555 0.603387 1.382733 2.878236 5.463655 9.504683 15.990994
2025-03-30 0.189813 0.573934 1.375180 2.960165 5.764203 10.224897 17.487648
2025-04-06 0.157868 0.518251 1.309018 2.929946 5.874958 10.655272 18.565257
2025-04-13 0.138341 0.488324 1.290725 2.986096 6.136028 11.335332 20.054108
2025-04-20 0.120177 0.457251 1.265305 3.025117 6.367767 11.976321 21.503990
2025-04-27 0.105175 0.430855 1.246044 3.073344 6.617046 12.654508 23.034637
2025-05-04 0.088878 0.395719 1.201352 3.064835 6.760364 13.159914 24.303331
2025-05-11 0.072847 0.355910 1.138934 3.012153 6.815915 13.516420 25.339403
2025-05-18 0.063075 0.333771 1.116233 3.041027 7.025865 14.143266 26.836534
2025-05-25 0.051978 0.302506 1.064805 3.000991 7.098386 14.531826 27.947855
2025-06-01 0.045289 0.285608 1.048518 3.037350 7.321092 15.189846 29.526561
2025-06-08 0.038029 0.263166 1.013058 3.025551 7.445540 15.675966 30.827126